Texas State vs San Jose State 10/27/2012

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San Jose State is a heavy favorite winning 83% of simulations over Texas State. David Fales is averaging 371 passing yards and 3.3 TDs per simulation and DeLeon Eskridge is projected for 52 rushing yards and a 37% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 17% of simulations where Texas State wins, Shaun Rutherford averages 1.59 TD passes vs 0.53 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.77 TDs to 0.81 interceptions. Marcus Curry averages 62 rushing yards and 0.76 rushing TDs when Texas State wins and 52 yards and 0.42 TDs in losses. San Jose State has a 57% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 90% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is SJST -21
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